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In
plastic we l(o)ive!
Whether or not the Euro had become a successful currency or not it at
least begun the bold process of integrating multiple currency systems
after much delay. But the next step to integrate all the currencies of
the world into one system is going to far more easy than inventing Euro,
thanks to the electronic currency system we seem to fast adapting to.
Plastic is already all pervasive as a way of denoting the credit
worthiness, as a key to accessing our currency resources and as a way of
trading currencies across geographies. Even plastic is on its way out
with the currencies being represented by a dot or a dash in a remote
computer terminal where currencies or the value of the monetary unit may
get created, get exchanged, get over or undervalued and remain only in
that form.
This system is quite convenient, quite secure against theft and abuse,
immensely capable of being transferred in very large values between
accounts at astronomical speeds which would increase the speed of the
currency exchange system making it more mobile and hence more valuable.
The flipside however is that if catastrophe manmade or otherwise should
strike the computer consoles, it would be near impossible to reverse the
transaction and retrieve your money.
Also Digital currency payment systems have raised macroeconomic
questions and concerns regarding their impact on the money supply and
government’s control over monetary policy. In the US research has
shown however that the FED control of the money supply can be adjusted
to reflect the change in the money demand and as such government
officials consider the effect of digital currency on the monetary system
to be minimal (Blinder 1995).
But it will affect monetary system in two ways. Supply of money by
changing money multiplier in the long run and
the velocity of money affecting price levels and interest rates.
Money whether in currency form or in digital form should ordinarily have
the same characteristic of liquidity, portability and price elasticity
expressed in terms of interest rate changes, except that in the digital
form money will rarely have zero velocity ie., being kept idle in a safe
or locker or in the wallets of people for long periods of time, which
would provide a greater multiplier thrust to the country’s monetary
resources which may in the long run bring down the costs of managing
money (ie., the interest rates). Apart from money multiplier, there is
the second aspect of money becoming difficult for being channeled
towards the number two economy which would have its own dynamics in
managing the monetary policy of the country.
The digital currency also unfortunately makes parallel economy flourish
with far more ease than before
even though the saving grace is that the digital money, by the very nature of its creation,
preservation and exchange creates a trail of evidence which is which may
be easier for a determined law enforcing authority to trace.
Being highly price sensitive, monetary control by the central bank would
become easier under the digital currency regime even though, the central
bank’s logic of monetary control as a way of correcting market
aberrations would stand to reason in the long run. This is because digital
currency is extremely sensitive to the markets and would correct itself
depending upon the fiscal regime of the time without an artificial
directive for control by the central bank. That
this would also expose the government to vicissitudes of open market
borrowing shutting out the route for special access to funds through the impounding
mechanism of the central bank is for the governments to worry about.
Efficiency therefore would be the result of the digital economy. At
every stage of the currency creation, currency movement, currency
exchange, currency pricing, currency control and currency use there
would be high degree of efficiency. Budget making would be comfortable
as the governments would know to the last digit about their currency
reserves position on a real time basis. This means there would be less
wastage and greater thrust to the monetary multiplier.
Banking system which gave
rise to the digital economy in the first place would be its biggest
casuality. The roadside
ATMs would stop spewing out currencies and eventually would even be
replaced when people from their WAP phones
and desktops would be able to access their funds and transact
business.
Will the digital economy lead us to the pot of gold in the end? Well, we
are after all talking about way of denoting value through a currency
system but creating value through efficiency and hardwork is still remains.
Insuvai@rediffmail.com |